Review of Decline and Price Performance

According to Gate data, ETH fell more than 7% in a single day, breaking below the support of the ascending wedge, and rebounded to the $2,460 area after hitting a low of $2,260; CryptoTimes further reports that this decline occurred in the context of multiple global bearish factors stacking up.

Core Technical Indicator Analysis

Moving Average and Pattern

• On the daily chart, ETH has broken below the rising wedge bottom beneath the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bearish outlook in the short term.
• If the price stabilizes above $2,500, it is expected to test the $2,600–2,650 resistance range.

Trading Volume and Momentum

• Accompanied by the decline, the trading volume has significantly increased, indicating concentrated selling pressure.
• RSI has approached the 30 oversold area, which may indicate a short-term Rebound opportunity, but it requires volume support.

Impact of macro background

The global market’s sensitivity to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy and geopolitical conflicts has increased, coupled with fluctuations in stablecoin liquidity, putting overall pressure on crypto assets. However, if risk aversion sentiment eases, ETH is expected to rebound quickly due to compliance and ETF expectations.

Rebound layout and risk management

• Rebound layoutFocus on the $2,460–2,500 support zone and consider making small purchases on dips.
• Stop-loss settingIf it falls below $2,450, it is recommended to stop losses and exit in a timely manner.
• Target levelFirst target $2,600, once broken can look to $2,700;
• Position ManagementControl a single position opening to not exceed 5%-10% of assets, and adjust according to market conditions.