Encryption derivation market semi-annual review: structural differentiation is obvious, altcoin investment sentiment is cautious.
In the first half of 2025, the global macro environment remains turbulent. The Federal Reserve has paused interest rate cuts multiple times, reflecting that its monetary policy has entered a wait-and-see phase, while the Trump administration's increase in tariffs and escalating geopolitical conflicts further tear apart the global risk appetite structure. Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency derivation market continues the strong momentum from the end of 2024, with the overall scale reaching a new high. After BTC broke through the historical high of $111,000 at the beginning of the year and entered a consolidation phase, the global BTC derivation open interest has significantly increased, with the total open interest from January to June jumping from about $60 billion to over $70 billion at its peak. By June, although the BTC price remained relatively stable around $100,000, the derivation market experienced multiple rounds of long and short liquidations, with leverage risks being released and the market structure being relatively healthy.
Looking forward to the third and fourth quarters